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 »  Articles  »  News  »  Mortgage Interest Rates
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Mortgage Interest Rates
By Credit Federal | Published 04/15/2006

Investors pushed up the yield on the government's benchmark note to over 5 percent on Thursday, its highest point in nearly four years, and many borrowers may soon end up paying more on mortgages and home equity loans.

A stronger economy and almost two-year money tightening campaign by the Federal Reserve has interest rates rising across the board. This may affect people who borrowed home loans with low introductory interest rates that adjust with market rates.

The 10-year Treasury note, which crossed the 5 percent threshold for the first time since June 2002, is most closely tied to mortgages and is likely to play a role in slowing home price increases and curbing the home buying frenzy in many parts of the country.

Homebuyers with adjustable rate mortgages could experience a jump in interest rates of 3 to 4 percentage points in the next two years, as the typical 3 percent introductory rate is adjusted higher in annual increments. For a family with a $400,000 mortgage, that could translate into an increase of as much as $1,000 in monthly interest payments.

Mortgage delinquencies have already started climbing, although they remain at relatively low levels. In the fourth quarter of last year, 4.7 percent of all home mortgages were delinquent, up from 4.4 percent in the third quarter, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association of America. A delinquent loan is one in which monthly payments are past due for 60 days or more.

But experts note that by past standards borrowing costs still remain modest and that the recent interest rate increases may have only a limited effect on economic growth. For many Americans, the growing number of jobs and improvements in incomes are likely to outweigh the impact of higher mortgage costs.

For much of the last year, analysts and policy makers have struggled to explain why long-term interest rates have remained relatively low, given the Fed's campaign to push up interest rates by increasing its benchmark short-term rate, now at 4.75 percent. Investors now expect the Fed to raise interest rates at least once more, to 5 percent, at its meeting next month.

According to Donald L. Kohn, a Fed governor, rising interest rates were likely to slow the economy later this year, primarily by deflating the once-robust housing market. He indicated that he would favor increasing short-term rates further if the economy sharply accelerated or energy prices shot up, because both could ignite higher inflation.

Many analysts say that longer-term interest rates in the United States have been kept low by the purchase of government securities by foreign governments and investors, particularly from Asia.

There are some early indications that foreign buying is easing. In the first week of April, for instance, the Japanese government purchased foreign bonds at a much slower rate than it did during the comparable period from 2003 to 2005, said Wan-Chong Kung, a senior portfolio manager at First American Funds, a mutual fund company in Minneapolis.

The Mortgage Bankers Association estimates that the burden of higher interest costs would fall on about 7 percent to 8 percent of all homeowners. The rest have either paid off their mortgages or face no immediate increase because they took out fixed-rate mortgages or refinanced their earlier loans to mortgages that hold rates steady for 5 to 10 years.

At the same time, new homebuyers will be paying more. The average national 30-year fixed mortgage interest rate was 6.43 percent last week, up from 6.21 percent at the start of the year and 5.71 percent at the start of 2005, according to Freddie Mac. The introductory interest rate on a five-year adjustable-rate mortgage was up to 6.11 percent, from 5.78 percent in January and 5.3 percent a year ago.

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