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 »  Articles  »  News  »  Consumer Retail Debt
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Consumer Retail Debt
By Credit Federal | Published 09/15/2006

Consumers are still spending and accruing debt at retail stores, which indicates the economy is withstanding the housing market slump.

According to a Commerce Department report and its findings, consumer spending reinforces the forecast that the economy will slowly cool enough to tame inflation. While a separate report showed a greater-than-expected increase in import prices, rising incomes and a drop in gasoline costs may give consumers enough cash to keep spending.

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According to the Labor Department, prices of goods imported into the USA rose higher than expected, led by increases in oil, natural gas and metals.

Sales of motor vehicles and parts, which make up about a fifth of total retail sales, rose 0.4%.

The National Association of Realtors said a slump in housing may also be holding down sales at other retailers. The median price of existing homes may rise 2.8% this year after jumping 10.5% last year. For now, higher mortgage rates and smaller gains in home prices may be dissuading homeowners from tapping home equity. Applications to refinance mortgages are at about a sixth of their peak in mid-2003, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association.

Some retailers are feeling the pinch. Home Depot restated last month's forecast that sales and profit for the year ending in early 2007 would be at the low end of its earlier forecast.

According to the median forecast of economists surveyed by Bloomberg News, economic growth will slow to an average 2.7% annual rate in the second half of the year, from a 4.25% pace in January through June.

Service station sales decreased 1%, the biggest drop since February. While near-record gasoline prices in July and early August may have contributed to the slowdown in spending, economists say the recent drop suggests the outlook may not be as dreary.

The AAA motor club said the price of regular-grade gasoline at the pump dropped to $2.575 a gallon after reaching as high as $3.04 a gallon last month.

Building-material and garden-supply stores showed a 0.1% increase in sales last month, after a 0.3% increase in July. Sales of electronics and appliances rose 0.1% after a 0.7% gain the prior month.

Purchases at non-store retailers, which include online and catalog sales, increased 0.3% after a 2.1% gain. Sales at general merchandise stores gained 0.4% after rising 0.2%.

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